Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.251073 1.525121 1.877646 2.379180 3.101271 4.151736 5.902864
2026-01-18 0.876728 1.166119 1.594154 2.321748 3.652095 6.336538 13.730784
2026-01-25 0.708044 0.995610 1.462363 2.365499 4.375081 9.969649 40.648106
2026-02-01 0.612186 0.897919 1.396696 2.472473 5.346087 16.826393 255.175823
2026-02-08 0.532133 0.803007 1.300189 2.460696 6.046367 26.371352 247011.010704
2026-02-15 0.466146 0.717442 1.195318 2.377322 6.473249 38.849392 NaN
2026-02-22 0.430035 0.677764 1.169711 2.479381 7.788095 82.890794 NaN
2026-03-01 0.394014 0.631650 1.118668 2.489223 8.803296 182.383709 NaN
2026-03-08 0.359070 0.582236 1.049479 2.416170 9.337924 394.403338 NaN
2026-03-15 0.332303 0.545131 1.000622 2.388135 10.194414 1574.637796 NaN
2026-03-22 0.321883 0.538970 1.022158 2.608481 13.635218 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.307911 0.523496 1.017756 2.738481 17.127191 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.289371 0.496723 0.981151 2.733634 19.453487 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.269771 0.465727 0.928708 2.643122 20.451293 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.257149 0.448480 0.909774 2.692478 24.570278 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.248151 0.438126 0.907566 2.821185 32.439994 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.235924 0.419299 0.878521 2.806822 37.231450 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.222615 0.396869 0.835992 2.706042 38.576632 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.216117 0.389333 0.835269 2.829424 53.086770 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.207508 0.376139 0.815828 2.841347 64.427986 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.197446 0.358783 0.781598 2.752950 67.786683 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.189330 0.345410 0.757842 2.719090 77.274272 NaN NaN
2026-06-14 0.187568 0.346856 0.779834 2.986148 155.768133 NaN NaN